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Marlins Question 3: Does Hanley Rebound?
- Updated: March 3, 2012
Hanley Ramirez has been a top notch player since his rookie year in 2006. In 2011, he had a bad year though and for the Marlins to be great this year, Hanley is going to have to step up and be a top notch player this year, but the question is can Hanley do it? Hanley is slotted to hit third and needs to be an all-around threat this year like he was from 2006-10 and my gut says he can because he got hurt last year and everyone has a down year plus for a while he was the same old Hanley, but I am going to dig a bit deeper.
His WAR was 0.5 last year, way down from averaging 5.8 since his rookie year. Hanley was very good in his rookie year sporting a WAR of almost 6, which is great and for a rookie amazing and he is a special player and only going to be 28, those are all great signs and shows that he could return to his 2010 numbers and some.
Last year Hanley .200 in April and .219 in May down from his career .290 and .296 numbers in those months respectively so he should get off to a better start and that should help propel him to a good year. His power numbers have went down each year since 2008 but I think that’s a fluke because he hit 33 that year and 24 the next, which is closer to what he will do on average and then 21, which all numbers will go up and down a little most likely.
The Marlins don’t even need Hanley to do what he did from 2006-10 to be a playoff team, they just need him to be close to it and Hanley should be even better. He is a 25-80-.300 type player who is a difference maker and is very valuable to his team. His switch to third shouldn’t hurt his hitting one bit and it may end up helping his fielding but if he gets worse it won’t be by much, he’s to athletic and has a good arm so I don’t see that messing him up.
I am convinced Hanley had a down year due to injuries and a slow start, and since he has no track record of a slow start I am going to just right it off as his bad year and this year he should re-establish himself as a top threat and return to being one of the top players in baseball and he should help the Marlins a ton and be their best hitter and help them possibly go to the playoffs. It is a key for the Marlins for Han-Ram to do well and that’s a good thing because I would say that has a 95% chance of happening. PREDICTION FOR HANLEY: HR: 27 RBI: 88 R: 100 AVG: .310 SB: 35 OBP: .380 WAR: 6.3
This post was by Niklas Jarvinen, follow him on Twitter @niktigs and be sure to follow this Marlins website on twitter @Marlins_Nation